Will A Russian Invasion Of Ukraine Be A Blitzkrieg Or Minor Incursion?

Military vehicles drive during the Union Courage 2022 joint military exercise of the armed forces of Russia and Belarus, at the Brestsky training ground in Brest Region, Belarus, February 11. Russian Defence Ministry/via REUTERS

Global Politics/New York Times: Putin Has Choice of Blitzkrieg or Minor Incursion in Ukraine

MUNICH — When President Biden declared on Friday he was convinced President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia had decided to attack Ukraine “in the coming week, in the coming days,” the skeptics among American allies suddenly fell quiet. Hours before, Mr. Biden had informed them that American intelligence agencies had just learned that the Kremlin had given the order for Russian military units to proceed with an invasion.

Now the debate has shifted to how Mr. Putin will do it: in one massive nationwide attack; a series of bites that dismantle the country, piece by piece; or a cobra-like squeeze. That last option is made all the easier with the news Sunday morning that Belarus is allowing Russian troops to remain indefinitely, where they can menace Kyiv, the Ukrainian capital.

Mr. Putin might be betting that he can shatter Ukraine’s economy and oust its government without having to immediately roll in tanks.

Mr. Putin’s strategic choices over the next few weeks may make a huge difference in how the world reacts.

If he strikes to take the whole country in a single blow — the approach that senior American military and intelligence officials and many outside analysts now think is the most likely — it could trigger the largest, most violent battle for European territory since the Nazi surrender in 1945.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: According to this report 50% of Russia's ground combat units are near the Ukraine border .... UK intelligence says Russia has 50% of its ground combat units on Ukraine's border (Insider).

With that type of fire-power I cannot help but think that it will be a major assault, with the objective being a quick seizure of Kyiv.

from War News Updates https://ift.tt/Xm2DZ75
via IFTTT

Comments

US And Russian Chiefs Of Staff Discuss Ukraine In Rare Phone Call

U.S. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley (left) and his Russian counterpart Valery Gerasimov (file photo) The Hill: Milley speaks with Russian counterpart for first time since start of war Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley spoke with his Russian counterpart on Thursday, the first such conversation between the two since the Kremlin’s invasion of Ukraine began in late February, according to the Pentagon. Milley spoke by phone with Valery Gerasimov, chief of the Russian general staff, and they “discussed several security-related issues of concern and agreed to keep the lines of communication open,” Joint Staff spokesperson Col. Dave Butler said in a readout of the conversation. The Pentagon did not provide further information on the conversation. Read more .... WNU Editor: So much for the reports last week that Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Russia Valery Gerasimov was fired b...

Is Putin's Inner Circle Already In Discussions On Who Is Going To Replace Him?

Russian President Vladimir Putin leads a meeting on economic issues in Moscow on Monday. (Alexei Nikolsky, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP) Daily Beast: Putin’s Own Men Are Already Discussing Who Will Replace Him Three months into Vladimir Putin’s bloody “special operation” in Ukraine, his own men in the Kremlin are reportedly discussing who will replace him. That’s according to new reporting by the independent news outlet Meduza, which cited several sources close to the Russian presidential administration who said officials are increasingly fed up with Putin personally. Some of Putin’s own allies within the Kremlin walls have reportedly floated the idea of Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin becoming his successor, or former President Dmitry Medvedev, who is now the deputy chairman of the Security Council. Sergei Kirienko, the first deputy chief of staff of the presidential administration, was also said to have been discussed as a contender. Read mor...

China's shipyard CSSC launches 1st Pakistani Hangor class submarine PNS Hangor

According to information published by the Pakistani MoD on April 26, 2024, the Hangor class submarine PNS Hangor was launched by the Chinese shipyard CSSC. This submarine is a part of the Hangor-class, which itself is based on the Yuan-class Type 039B submarines provided by China. Read full news at this link Hangor class submarine PNS Hangor. (Picture source: Pakistani MoD) Read more from World Defence News https://ift.tt/dgQWhs7 via IFTTT

MTQ News

Search This Blog