China's Proposed ‘Peace Plan’ Between Russia And Ukraine Is Expected On Friday

 

China Briefing: China’s Peace Plan For Ukraine, Russia, the European Union and United States 

Chinese State Councillor Wang Yi is in Moscow holding extensive talks with Russian President Putin, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and several high-ranking security officials. The release of a China proposed ‘Peace plan’ between Russia and Ukraine is expected on Friday. 

To some extent, the contents are partially known in terms of statements that the Chinese side have previously made in terms of perceived support for Russia. These include a recognition of ‘Russia’s legitimate security concerns’, the ceding of the Ukrainian regions of Donbass to Russia, the recognition of Crimea as part of Russia, and that Ukraine will not join NATO. 

On the opposite side, Ukrainian President Zelensky has stated that no Ukrainian territory will be ceded to Russia, that Crimea must be returned, and that Moscow must pay full reparations for the damage caused. The two sides therefore appear at opposite ends. Yet Zelensky has also stated that he is aware of China’s “peace plan” and deems it important to draw up a unified plan for ending the crisis.  

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WNU Editor: I regard China's "Peace Plan" as a work in progress open to negotiate and compromise. The major points are already known .... a recognition of ‘Russia’s legitimate security concerns’, the ceding of the Ukrainian regions of Donbass to Russia, the recognition of Crimea as part of Russia, and that Ukraine will not join NATO. 

I know this is not acceptable to Ukraine, but I recommend that they should not dismiss China's "Peace Plan" right away. My experience with the Chinese goes back decades, and I know that on issues like this one they view themselves as a third party whose responsibility will be to administer the negotiations between the two sides. 

If Zelensky should make the decision to ignore this Chinese peace proposal and/or dismiss it as unacceptable without taking the time to at least discuss it, Beijing will then view the Zelensky government as someone that is not serious to end the conflict through peaceful means. Beijing will then re-evaluate what they should do, and it would not surprise me if they will then make the decision to openly support Russia by providing weapons and ammo backed by political and economic support. 

To say that the next few weeks are going to be critical on where the Russia - Ukraine war may go is an understatement. The lives of hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian and Russian soldiers are now on the line, and a very real risk that this conflict may spread to other countries.

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